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Copyright © by Nila Gaede 2008
I have no idea, Bill!
I really don't know
You're talking to the wrong guy, stupid! If you really want to know, ask me.
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1.0 The definitions of paleontologist and anthropologist
Normally, an anthropologist studies humans whereas a paleontologist studies prehistoric life forms. This
is not how I will use these terms here because it does not reflect reality. This site is geared for the average
person. The layman has little to no interest in whether an unpronounceable bone of the T-Rex anatomy
was smaller than a comparable one of a Giganotosaurus, or whether Neanderthal used Mousterian tools.
These are subjects that concern specialists and a claque of amateurs that follow the literature.
The only subject of any importance for the general public is extinction. People want to know if we have
Neanderthal blood in us or whether it is true that an asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs or whether Woolly
froze or was hunted to death. Once we answer these questions, we are done with Anthropology and
Paleontology. The bone professionals need to look for new jobs. The funds presently being diverted to
resolve the extinction dispute dry up overnight.
Therefore, I will define paleontologist and anthropologist in terms of how they relate to extinction. And
here there is a major difference. A paleontologist studies the far past whereas an anthropologist studies
the recent past. This confers upon the paleontologist liberties denied to the anthropologist.
A paleontologist can publish any theory of extinction that comes off the top of his mind as long as it
doesn't involve a human. This gives him greater confidence when peddling his pet peeve. A
paleontologist already knows what killed Dimetrodon 280 million years ago. It was a sudden climate
change. A cold front came in and all the cold blooded creatures couldn't stand it. Elementary stuff; a no-
brainer. They also know without a shadow of a doubt what killed T-Rex 65 million years ago. It was an
asteroid. A gigantic rock collided with Earth, spread its debris throughout the atmosphere, and triggered
an 'impact winter', a long period where the Sun was blotted out. Photosynthesis was outlawed. Plants
died. Herbivores died. Predators died. What more is there to know? And thank God for that lucky stone,
they'll add, for otherwise you wouldn't be around today!
The unfortunate anthropologist doesn't have it remotely as easy. There haven't been any major
catastrophic accidents in the last 100,000 years that could justify selective extinctions. A supernova
perhaps? No sign of them! Excess volcanic activity? Come oooon! Disease? Unlikely! There were no
crowd diseases in those days! Climate change? Well this one together with overkill enjoy popularity, not
because they are true, but because the lay public has no trouble relating these mechanisms with what we
witness around us today. The point is that the amount of lies that an anthropologist can tell is not even a
fraction of those a paleontologist can get away with. Once in a while, you will hear an anthropologist
confess that he doesn't know. You will never hear those words coming from the mouth of a paleontologist.
paleontologist: a person who knows exactly what caused ancient extinctions
anthropologist: a person who has no idea what caused recent extinctions
2.0 When the experts don't know
The paleontologists and anthropologists can tell you something about their specialized worlds, but you
should put little to no weight on their conclusions about extinction. The anthropologists can tell you how
long a bone is and how it is different from the one next to it. The same anthropologists will not agree on
whether it belongs to a Neanderthal or to a Cro-Magnon. And both the anthropologist and the
paleontologist can at best speculate as much as you regarding the disappearance of T-Rex or Woolly.
Like the mathematicians, who have no authority to tell you anything about Physics, the bone diggers
have as much authority to tell you about extinctions as the next guy. They simply don't know!
So it is really tiring to see the media periodically interviewing anthropologists MacPhee and Martin to see
what they have to say about the extinction of the Mastodon, or publishing sensationalist headlines
announcing something like 'New studies indicate that Woolly may have been killed by disease' and then
quoting MacPhee for the millionth time. None of the anthropologists and paleontologists alive today have
offered new insights for extinction in the last 30 years! None of them have changed their minds and
switched sides. You read them once. You read them forever.
You may suspect that the status quo has to do with insufficient data. The evidence is sketchy. The jury is
still out. Therefore, it's natural for people to draw conflicting conclusions.
You would be wrong. Four mtDNA and at least one DNA study show that Neanderthal has nothing to do
with Man. So what did the anthropologists whose religions and funds were suddenly threatened by these
studies do? Again, they followed the same procedures that their colleagues in relativity use. Unable to
explain the galactic rotation problem which summarily destroys relativity theory, the mathematicians
invented dark matter. Now they spend your money looking for inexistent dark matter in addition to
inexistent black holes, inexistent wormholes, and inexistent dark energy. Likewise, the anthropologists
who lost the bet refused to concede defeat. The new argument is that mtDNA cannot really tell us
anything about our relation to Neanderthal. They could have told us before we spent all that money on the
experiments. Instead, the scholars waited to see if the results confirmed their theories.
So where are we today? We are on wild goose chases everywhere, that's where we are! The experts who
do mtDNA analysis promise to do more studies, more carefully, at more cost to you, to resolve some time
in the future whether Neanderthal and Cro-Magnon really 'did it'. The experts who already made up their
minds that the two species 'did' it are doing more bone comparisons, at yet more cost to you, and arguing
that Neanderthal was really no different than us. Sometimes I wonder whether they are right and they do
in fact descend from the Neanderthals.
Therefore, throwing more data at this problem is not going to solve anything. Extinction is not an issue of
quantity, but of quality. A recent pow wow held by contemporary Neanderthals makes this absolutely
clear:
" Nevertheless, despite the quality and weight of the evidence, there continue to be
major debates (that have lasted for 150 years) about a number of contentious issues,
especially whether or not Neanderthals should be included in the same species as
anatomically modern humans, and what is the precise phylogenetic relationship
between these two forms. Our inability to agree on these fundamental questions is a
matter of serious concern for paleoanthropologists: it leads to the inevitable conclu-
sion that if we are unable to come to a decision about the nature of the relationship
between Neanderthals and modern humans, how can we have confidence in our
ability to resolve relationships in the earlier, much more scanty, fossil human record.
However, the lack of unanimity is unrelated to the quality of the material. It is more a
consequence of deeper theoretical and conceptual issues that relate to how different
researchers analyze and interpret the anatomical and genetic evidence, and to the
manner in which these are ultimately situated in the broader context of how biological
systems operate in the natural world. If this is the case, then it will take some time
before a consensus can be reached, regardless of the amount of fossil material
available for study." [1]
So what is more data going to resolve? What is the purpose for people like Trinkaus or Martin to collect
more information at the lab or in the field other than to use it to push their theories? How many times do
we have to read Martin's overkill theory or Trinkaus's 'admixture' theory in Nature or in books, or watch a
new documentary of the same theories on the Discovery Channel? We have been investigating extinction
for well over 100 years now and we keep repeating over and over again, from generation to generation,
the same theories and proposing the same agents.
What we need to do, without any further delay, is wipe the slate clean. We need to erase the board and
start over. There is something fundamentally wrong if at this late stage in the game with so much
information at hand, we still don't understand how 99% of the species that ever lived on Earth
disappeared.
Don't get me wrong. By no means do I claim to be an expert in bones, hominids, or dinosaurs. My
argument is that I don't need to be. The fact that a professional went through several years of college and
co-authored a bunch of papers in Nature and Science gives them no edge over you on the subject of
extinction. The matter at hand is not about jaws, femurs, or Neanderthals. It is about logic, about the
appalling state of science, and about personal religions. If the experts cannot agree on the basics, if they
cannot tell us unambiguously whether a bone belongs the Neanderthal or to Man, then they are not
experts in bones, let alone on the extinction of the species those bones allegedly represent. I don't care
how many years they warmed a seat at the university! We need to dispose of the notion that there are
experts on the subject of extinction.
What we need is new, rational proposals. This site aims to do just that. I propose two NEW rational
mechanisms for the extinction of species irrespective of habitat or epoch, one for background extinctions
and another for mass extinctions. Therefore, I can only speculate as much as the experts as to whether
Woolly died in a background or in a mass extinction. But if Woolly died in a mass extinction, I can
describe the mechanism and tell you how it happened. Here, I will argue that Neanderthal died in a
background extinction. Now I'm going to tell you how it happened. Before I do, let's briefly review what is
wrong with current proposals.
3.0 Neanderthal died in a background extinction
The gut feeling among our sages is that Neanderthal sort of withered away gradually, peacefully. The
mechanisms paleontologists invoke to justify background extinctions are evolution, competition, new
predators, and scarce resource. These theories are popular because most people can relate to them. A
lonely investor is trampled during the bull market because he can’t compete against the heavyweights.
The ‘law of the fittest’ they call it. The Neanderthals slacked off, and faster, keener, or stronger animals
(we) got the better of him.
However, we should step back and take a closer look at the reasons paleontologists brainstorm for
background extinctions. We know, for example, that we can remove scarce resources as a possibility
right off the bat. When the Neanderthals started their decline and to the very end, Europe was swarming
with game. The scarcity of resources was not a show-stopper. We can also rule out evolution. Evolve,
Neanderthal didn’t evolve: we know of no other hominid hiding in bushes and in great numbers. We are
the last of the hominid dynasty, like Dimetrodon was the last of the finbacks, like Inostrancevia was the
last of the gorgons, like plesiosaur was the last of the nessies, and like T-Rex was the last of the great
predatory land dinos. This leaves competition and predation. Here, and until the next graduate proposes a
new theory involving extraterrestrial agents, we must conclude that Cro-Magnons were the only species
capable of eliminating or crowding out the Neanderthals. Unfortunately, this suggestion fails because Cro-
Magnon was weaker, had carved out a different niche, and faced the same climate. What other relation
besides love and war could we have had with our cousins that would have exterminated them? Hence, if
we rule out love and war, we must conclude that we had absolutely nothing at all to do with the extinction
of the Neanderthal.
Let there be no doubt and let’s settle this once and for all: Neanderthal died all alone. He fizzled away into
oblivion while other species thrived and danced around him. This ‘selectivity’ is perplexing and does
require profound thought. We will not resolve this issue by searching for exogenous causes. We can only
solve the problem with an endogenous cause. There is a single endogenous cause that any species
faces. That's what I will discuss here. However, before we talk about how Neanderthal disappeared, it
would be wise to review the contending theories and the justifications their main advocates offer. This will
enable us to establish a contrast between what they propose and the theory I will expose in this site.